Emissions of road traffic in Belgium 1990-2030
TML calculated the exhaust emissions of road traffic for the period 1990-2030 for the Federal Mobility Department and Febiac. The calculations were based on a trend scenario for the mobility evolution. The study takes the effects of biofuels and air conditioning into account. Due to the EURO standards, the emissions of polluting substances, nitrogen oxide (NOx), fine particles (PM), carbon monoxide (CO) and volatile organic components (VOC) decrease with 70 to 90% although the transport volume has increased. For carbon dioxide (CO2), responsible for the reheating of the climate, there is a slight increase of emissions
Furthermore, TML calculated for three scenarios the impacts on emissions, transport volumes, tax revenue and general welfare level. A first scenario simulated an increase of transport taxes, a second scenario simulated an increase in fuel prices and the third scenario calculated the effects of an environmental related road tax. For the first two scenarios it resulted in a slight emission decrease, whereas for the last scenario an advanced decrease of emissions of fine particles.
TML used the multimodal European Transport model TREMOVE for the calculations. Particular attention was paid to the actualization of the Belgian input data. The inputs are perfectly consistent with vehicle kilometres, vehicle stock and fuel sales statistics.
Press release (in Dutch)
Press release (in French)
2005 - 2006
FOD Mobiliteit (Mobility Department for the Federal government)
Bruno Van Zeebroeck, Steven Logghe, Bart Van Herbruggen, Griet De Ceuster
Bruno Van Zeebroeck
+32 16 31.77.36