Evaluation of the Trans-Siberian Railway

Business case for new Trans-Siberian railway corridor services

TML and TNO assisted FESCO and MITSUI in developing a business case for new Trans-Siberian railway corridor (TSR) services. The World Container Model (WCM) has been applied to estimate the volume of containers that will use the new land bridge.

The WCM was developed at TNO in 2008. The main function of the model is to calculate the distribution of global freight flows over competing routing alternatives. These routing alternatives may include sea routes as well as land bridges such as the Trans-Siberian railway.

The study for FESCO included the following steps:

  • Alignment of the base year model with data from FESCO and MITSUI
  • Development of the baseline forecast for a future year and scenarios
  • Application of the model and interpretation of results

TML was responsible for the technical project management and established the communication between the transport modelling software 'OmniTRANS' and the World Container Model. OmniTRANS was used for data management, network editing and the presentation of the results; the actual calculations were executed by the existing WCM.

The study shows – per NSTR-commodity and in function of the competing maritime tariffs – the price elasticity and the optimal price to maximize the profit of transporting the goods across the Trans-Siberian Railway.

reports

Confidential

period

2011

funded by

FESCO

researchers

Kristof Carlier

partners

TNO

contact

Kristof Carlier

+32 16 31.77.36
reference: 10.63