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SUST-RUS

Spatial-economic-ecological model for the assessment of sustainability policies of Russian Federation

The objective of the study is to develop and implement for Russia an integrated spatial-economic-ecological model, which represents the state-of-the-art in different areas of economic, transport, resource-use and environmental modelling. It is the aim that the model will assist the Russian policy makers and international community in their choice of medium and long-term sustainability policies. The SUST-RUS modelling approach will be superior to the current models available for Russia. 

SUST-RUS aims at:

  • developing a modelling approach, which represents the state-of-the-art in impact assessment modelling and corresponds the complexity of the sustainability issue
  • building consistent database for Russia
  • constructing the spatial-economic-ecological model for Russia
  • developing a set of sustainability indicators, which allows for quantification of social, economic and environmental effects of sustainability policies
  • using the model to assess the effects of a set of important sustainability policy measures

The SUST-RUS model will, among others, include:

  • representation of interregional (within Russia) and international (outside of Russia) flows of capital (FDI) and labour
  • different types of foreign direct investments and the related investment decisions
  • all major types of emissions related to production and consumption activities
  • the use of natural resources for production and consumption and the depletion of the different types of mineral resources
  • consumption, savings and investment behaviour of different socio-economic groups
  • detailed modelling of the Russian energy sector including the production technology, market structure, investment decisions

 

PROJECT TEAM

presentations

December 15, Christophe Heyndrickx gave 2 presentations at the SUSTRUS conference about 'Results from a sustainability model for Russia' (presentation for the policy makers - same presentation in Russian - presentation for the scientific committee)

Summary:
Following the accession of Russia to the WTO, TML calculated in cooperation with CEFIR (RU) and ZEW (DE), the effects of the accession on the main socio-economic indicators.
The SUSTRUS model was used to calculate these effects on the short term (1 to 2 years) and long term (5 to 6 years). The conclusion was that the purchasing power of consumers can increase from 0.5 up to 1.5%, but with a possible decrease in the growth of domestic production from 0.1% up to 0.5% on short term.
Specifically the food, chemical and light industry sectors may lose market shares. Service sectors, especially business services, financial sector and construction may experience high growth. On longer term, economic growth is stimulated by growth in the service sectors, if a decrease in barriers to foreign direct investment in businesses is realized.

reports

no reports available yet

period

2008-2011

funded by

European Commission, FP7

researchers

Eef Delhaye, Tim Breemersch, Ignacio Hidalgo, Christophe Heyndrickx

partners

Centre for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR- project leader), ZEW, Centre for European Economic Research, Institute for the Economy in Transition (IET), Ural State University (USU), Voronezh State University (VSU), Far Eastern Center for Economic Development (FECED), Statistics Norway (SSB)

contact

Christophe Heyndrickx

+32 16 74.51.21